Proposal for a spatial model to evaluate risk indicators of climate change impacts

Abstract

Here is now a general consensus in the scientific community that the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations as a result of human activities is the unequivocal cause of the current warming of the atmosphere, oceans, and land.

A spatial disaster risk model is an approach that integrates territorial variables to analyze and geographically represent the vulnerability, threats, and capabilities of an area in the face of potential disasters and is a key step in the climate change adaptation cycle. This proposed spatial model for

The results obtained from its application on the Isle of Youth were characterized by the evaluation of risk indicators for climate change (CC) impacts, combining quantitative analysis, expert heuristics, and geospatial technologies. The model seeks to overcome fragmented approaches through a dynamic platform adaptable to local and national scales, providing analysis for the assessment of climate change impacts from the perspective of watersheds.

Evaluating vulnerability and risk indicators for the impacts of climate change by watershed allows for the modeling of specific watersheds, a spatial representation—through layers of geographic information—of climate impacts, the construction of various hazard, exposure, and vulnerability maps, and the identification of risk sites in the special municipality of Isla de la Juventud. This allows decision-makers to establish the most appropriate strategies for addressing climate change in the territory.